Escalating Trade Wars and Oil Markets
U.S. Gulf Coast crude oil imports averaged 1.8 million barrels per day (b/d) in March 2019, the lowest level since March 1986 and significantly lower than the peak of 6.6 million b/d in March 2007. In 2018, 20% of all Gulf Coast crude oil imports were from Venezuela, an annual average of 498,000 ...On the way up: The trends that will impact oil in 2019
The price of oil has been on a bullish trend since the start of the year. This is despite a steep decline at the end of last year because of a significant US shale industry output, which pushed down prices. The prices have recovered at the start of this year because the market has bet that supply w ...Crude Oil Prices: Changing Gear
Russia and Saudi Arabia both making new pledges on supply cuts comes despite supply issues elsewhere in OPEC, which could have provided some cushion for smaller cuts. Iranian production remains constrained by new American sanctions; targeted waivers have provided some relief – and indeed Iranian ...The Valve Closes On Venezuela’s Oil
Under the new sanctions, Venezuela can only sell crude to the USA or using US dollars through offshore companies until April 28, 2019. The US is the main demand centre for Venezuela's heavy crudes; despite investment from Russia and China, the loss of American demand will be a major blow to PDVSA ...Key Milestones in 2019 for Oil Prices
The market swang from balanced supply/demand to a supply crunch to a glut – dealing with American sanctions on Iranian crude exports, surging American crude oil production, the implosion of Venezuela's economy and signs that the global economy might be entering a slowdown. Sometime in the first q ...Is the US a Net Crude Oil Exporter?
The comparison of those two net trade numbers could be construed that the US has became a net exporter of 0.2 mmb/d of crude and finished products for the week. For any other direction, the US is still a net importer of 4 mmb/d of crude oil or in a net deficit of oil supply by 1.9 mmb/d. But mis ...
This is after OPEC+ managed to corral its members together to agree to a 1.2 mmb/d cut in early December – a move that managed to steady oil prices for mere days. If it manages to keep the supply/demand balance aligned, it is conceivable that crude prices could return to those ranges – which unde ...
Its reasoning made logical sense – Qatar produces very little crude, so to have a say in a cartel focused on crude was not in its interests, which lie in LNG – but it hinted at deep-seated tensions in OPEC that could undermine Saudi Arabia's attempts to corral members. Split between 800,000 b/d f ...South Korea Stopped Importing Condensate From Iran Before Receiving Sanctions Waivers
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, based on ClipperData, LLC South Korea, the world's leading importer of condensates , has sought alternatives to partially offset declines in imports of Iranian condensates during the past few months, particularly in light of U.S. sanctions on Ir ...FACTBOX: US Imposes Sanctions on Iranian Crude Exports – S&P Global Platts
US sanctions against Iranian crude exports went back into effect Monday, although top buyers of Iranian crude were given temporary waivers until May, when they will be expected to cut purchases significantly. Oil prices climbed Monday as the sanctions kicked in, but price increases were limited by ...Resumption of Iran Sanctions Adds Uncertainty to Crude Oil and Gasoline Price Forecasts
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook , October 2018 EIA's October 2018 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) forecasts Brent crude oil spot prices, which averaged $79 per barrel (b) in September, to average $81/b in the fourth quarter of 2018, before fall ...Iran Has Produced and Exported Less Crude Oil Since Sanctions Announcement
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook , October 2018; ClipperData Note: Liquid fuels production includes crude oil, lease condensate, hydrocarbon gas liquids, biofuels, and refinery processing gain. Iran's crude oil exports and production have declined ...Foreign Firms Look to Play Crucial Role in Venezuelan Oil and Gas Sector, Says GlobalData
The majority of foreign companies are not making any profit or losing money in their partnerships with PDVSA to develop and produce hydrocarbons due to inadequate investment, shattered infrastructure and US sanctions. However, in the long term, having access to the vast hydrocarbon reserves of Vene ...S&P Global Platts Factbox: One-Month Countdown to US Sanctions on Iran's Oil Buyers
Washington DC — Iran's oil buyers have a month to halt their trades or risk getting banned from the US financial system for violating secondary sanctions that return November 5. Oil prices continue to be supported by the deadline and the hard-line enforcement expected by the administration of Pres ...The Downside For Oil Is Limited
By Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com More than two weeks of nearly uninterrupted price gains for crude oil ended this week, with the rally running out of steam. The question is what happens next? Oil prices posted steep losses just as the bulls were back on the march. WTI briefly topped $70 per b ...
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