Gail Tverberg


All posts for Gail Tverberg

Researchers have been underestimating the cost of wind and solar

How should electricity from wind turbines and solar panels be evaluated? Should it be evaluated as if these devices are stand-alone devices? Or do these devices provide electricity that is of such low quality, because of its intermittency and other factors, that we should recognize the need for sup ...

Gail Tverberg


Posted 28 days agoOpinion > Gail TverbergOur Finite Worldwind power +1

Why Energy-Economy Models Produce Overly Optimistic Indications

I was asked to give a talk to a committee of actuaries who are concerned about modeling the financial future of programs, such as pension plans, given the energy problems that are often discussed. They (and the consultants that they hire) have been using an approach that puts problems far off into ...

Gail Tverberg


Posted 4 months agoOpinion > Gail TverbergOur Finite World

Oops! The economy is like a self-driving car

Back in 1776, Adam Smith talked about the “invisible hand” of the economy. Investopedia explains how the invisible hand works as, “In a free market economy, self-interested individuals operate through a system of mutual interdependence to promote the general benefit of society at large.” We talk ...

Gail Tverberg


Posted 6 months agoOpinion > Gail Tverberg

The “Wind and Solar Will Save Us” Delusion

The “Wind and Solar Will Save Us” story is based on a long list of misunderstandings and apples to oranges comparisons. Somehow, people seem to believe that our economy of 7.5 billion people can get along with a very short list of energy supplies. This short list will not include fossil fuels. Some ...

Gail Tverberg


Posted 6 months agoOpinion > Gail Tverbergwind powersolar power

2017: The Year When the World Economy Starts Coming Apart

Some people would argue that 2016 was the year that the world economy started to come apart, with the passage of Brexit and the election of Donald Trump. Whether or not the “coming apart” process started in 2016, in my opinion we are going to see many more steps in this direction in 2017. Let me ex ...

Gail Tverberg


Posted 7 months agoOpinion > Gail Tverberg

What has gone wrong with oil prices, debt, and GDP growth?

Our economy is a mystery to almost everyone, including economists. Let me explain the way I see the situation: (1) The big thing that pulls the economy forward is the time-shifting nature of debt and debt-like instruments . If we want any kind of specialization, we need some sort of long-term ob ...

Gail Tverberg


Posted 8 months agoOpinion > Gail Tverbergoil price