Latest Opinions


Dr. Daniel Fine: Hurricanes, strategic implications, royalties and prices

Hurricane Harvey last month shut down more than 3 million barrels of oil refinery output or nearly 17 percent of the nation's capacity. Refinery capacity in the Gulf Coast was down over 30 percent on Aug. 30. Whatever caused this hurricane, there is now a risk of future size and scale to be reckoned ...

Will Fine


Posted 2 years agoOpinion > Hurricane HarveyStrategic Oil & Gasoil royalties +36

Dr. Daniel Fine: Trump's Approach to Oil and Gas a New Course in the San Juan Basin

It has been 70 years since a President of the United States has considered domestic oil and gas as a “power” in world affairs. With Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke charting a new course, the Trump Administration is considering a transfer of Federal Land management with natural resources to the ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > New MexicoHilcorp EnergyDepartment of Interior +31

Dr. Daniel Fine on Oil and Gas: Prices and Supply Short of War in Middle East

One day after the OPEC annual meeting, although composed for publication two weeks ago, this column moves the clock forward to early 2018.  There is a background noise of regional “hybrid war” intruding on the market price of World and West Texas Intermediate oil. Most analysts both commercial and ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > Kingdom of Saudi ArabiasaudiSaudi Aramco +89

Dr. Daniel Fine: Oil and Gas: A Look at What 2018 May Bring

Trump leads mass deregulation effort; comeback seen for San Juan Basin by Dr. Daniel Fine The price of oil in 2018 will be volatile with commodity market traders selling on signals of OPEC-Russia “cheating” or members producing more oil than the extended Algiers Agreement output quotas. This shou ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > Donald TrumpPresident TrumpTrump +68

Dr. Daniel Fine: NAFTA, natural gas and the San Juan Basin

The North American Free Trade Agreement is now in a final stage with the U.S. team looking over the “energy chapter,” which has been approved by Canada and Mexico. The Administration's position, with a revisionist-protectionist core, offers President Trump a withdrawal-from-NAFTA option, at least a ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > NAFTACanadaMexico +30

Dr. Daniel Fine: OPEC in Houston and Steel Pipes From China

For a week in March, Houston was the site of a world assembly of oil producers engaged in an OPEC-Russia dialogue with American shale or light tight oil producers on supply and — indirectly — price.  OPEC and Saudi Arabia pitched a market information offensive.  Put simply, American oil producers ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > HoustonChinaChina National Petroleum Corporation CNPC +70

Dr. Daniel Fine: Oil Speculation and Natural Gas/LNG in New England and Russia

American oil production is poised to reach upward to 11 million barrels of oil per day if the price of West Texas Crude reaches $75 a barrel.   Saudi Arabia or Saudi Aramco believes it will, and commodity speculators are following. It is similar to 2008 in June when Goldman Sachs forecast $250 per ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > Kingdom of Saudi ArabiaSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia Oil +34

Fine: No Such Thing As 'Free Trade' With OPEC as a Cartel

Among some speakers at the 2018 Four Corners Oil and Gas Conference last month in Farmington there were evasive positions on the future of OPEC. Also, previous online or media positions of “free trade” were muted to be popular with the oil, gas and equipment operators who made up those in attendanc ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > Kingdom of Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabiasaudi +68

Dr. Daniel Fine: Oil – Before and After the November Election

The Trump Administration is moving towards less royalty rates on Federal land leases, less Bureau of Land Management discretion on Environmental Protection Act obstruction on the Application for Petroleum Drilling process, less coal and nuclear power generation decline, and less oil supply confiden ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > Ryan zinkeDonald TrumpPresident Trump +66

Analysis: What's Next for Oil and Gas Prices After Putin-Trump Summit? by Dr. Daniel Fine

(Photo: Pablo Martinez Monsivais,/AP) The opposition in Congress wants to see a transcript of what President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin talked about for two hours alone. No doubt some of that time was spent discussing OPEC and the price of oil. This is abov ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > Donald TrumpPresident of the USAPresident +56

Dr. Daniel Fine: Trump and Oil in Trade Geopolitics

Unlike 1973, and its oil embargo against the United States, there is no supply threat from the Middle East. Consequently, only a demand unknown moves the price of crude oil. Permian/Delaware has displaced the Middle East as a source and even Mexico imports U.S. production.  This has caused euphori ...

Will Fine


Posted 1 year agoOpinion > United StatesMiddle EastPermian +69

Analysis: Trump and Saudi Collision on Oil, and Bingaman’s Return to Santa Fe

In an earlier column, readers overseas benefited from this writer's forecast that crude oil prices would fall dramatically because most commodity traders got it wrong. Simply, this column's analysis was the buying of oil assumed a shortage would result once the sanctions against Iran would be activ ...

Will Fine


Posted 10 months agoOpinion > Senator BingamanBingamanSanta Fe +71

Reactions to Delaware Basin News Shows Misunderstanding of Petroleum Economics by Dr. Daniel Fine

News of the size of oil reserves in the Delaware Basin (New Mexico's share of the Permian) while OPEC was deciding how many barrels it will cut from the world market to lift prices caused epic confusion – and revelations of how little “authorities” and the media understand petroleum economics. The ...

Will Fine


Posted 9 months agoOpinion > OPECNon-OPECNOPEC +91

Analysis: Things are flat in the Permian, and there's a push for renewables in Santa Fe by Dr. Daniel Fine

The Permian-Delaware Basin rig count should start falling as oil operators, large and small, are flat for 2019. Spending has been sharply reduced as supply now dominates the A.I. (Artificial Intelligence) used by many commodity traders in oil.    The large or integrated oil companies have all the ...

Will Fine


Posted 8 months agoOpinion > Santa Felatest oil and gas newsNew Mexico +69

The 10 largest upstream impairments recorded in U.S. oil & gas in 2016

Impairments and write-downs in the U.S. oil and gas industry were brought right back into focus by ExxonMobil's admission in October 2016 that it might have to write-down the value of some of its E&P assets around the world. ExxonMobil, in what would be a significant change in accounting policy, ...

Mark Young


Posted 2 years agoOpinion > Evaluate EnergyUnited States2016 +2
Last fetch 10/16/2019 12:34:40 AM