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Natural gas and wind forecast to be fastest growing sources of U.S. electricity generation


  • These changes in capacity contribute to EIA's forecast that natural gas will fuel 39% of electricity generation in the PJM region in 2020, up from a share of 31% in 2018.
  • EIA forecasts the Henry Hub natural gas price will fall by 21% in 2019, which contributes to EIA's expectation that ERCOT's natural gas generation share will rise from 45% in 2018 to 47% this year.
  • Although EIA forecasts next year's natural gas prices to remain relatively flat in 2020, the large increase in renewable generating capacity is expected to reduce the region's 2020 natural gas generation share to 41%.



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